← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.54+2.10vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.22+1.79vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University0.01+7.28vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute1.69+1.21vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.72-0.01vs Predicted
-
6University of Buffalo0.92+1.52vs Predicted
-
7Villanova University1.15-0.27vs Predicted
-
8Ocean County College0.70-0.08vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.04+1.30vs Predicted
-
10University of Rochester-0.52+1.76vs Predicted
-
11Syracuse University-1.14+2.47vs Predicted
-
12University of Toronto-0.08-1.52vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University1.47-7.13vs Predicted
-
14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38-2.51vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Military Academy-1.54-0.73vs Predicted
-
16Drexel University0.10-6.03vs Predicted
-
17Penn State University-2.42-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.1Cornell University2.540.3%1st Place
-
3.79University of Pennsylvania2.220.2%1st Place
-
10.28Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
-
5.21Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
-
4.99Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
-
7.52University of Buffalo0.920.1%1st Place
-
6.73Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
-
7.92Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
-
10.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.040.0%1st Place
-
11.76University of Rochester-0.520.0%1st Place
-
13.47Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
-
10.48University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
-
5.87Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
-
11.49Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
-
14.27U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
-
9.97Drexel University0.100.0%1st Place
-
15.84Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Kelter | 25.7% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 18.1% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Larose | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Wingender | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mueller | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Barton | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Claire Michaud | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 18.0% | 23.7% | 11.5% |
| Bryan Krol | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Teague | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 27.7% | 21.1% |
| Dylan Boland | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| John Driscoll | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 18.4% | 58.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.