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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+5.57vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.80+2.47vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.55+2.36vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.18+2.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.43+0.55vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.21+0.24vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.70+5.37vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.60+0.44vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.26-2.91vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.10+0.08vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.42+3.08vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.79-4.34vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.69-5.25vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58+0.62vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.95-1.91vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-1.96vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.00-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.098.6%1st Place
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4.47University of Rhode Island1.8016.5%1st Place
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5.36Brown University1.5511.8%1st Place
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6.3University of Rhode Island1.187.8%1st Place
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5.55Tufts University1.4311.9%1st Place
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6.24Salve Regina University1.219.1%1st Place
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12.37Bates College-0.700.8%1st Place
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8.44Connecticut College0.604.2%1st Place
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6.09Northeastern University1.269.4%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont0.102.3%1st Place
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14.08Middlebury College-1.420.7%1st Place
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7.66Brown University0.795.2%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University0.695.8%1st Place
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14.62Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.580.4%1st Place
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13.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.950.9%1st Place
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14.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.9%1st Place
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10.31University of New Hampshire-0.003.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Derry | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 16.5% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colby Green | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Monaghan | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Hayes | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| William Procter | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 23.9% |
| Helen Horangic | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 33.5% |
| Daniel Faivre | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 9.8% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 23.1% |
| James Sullivan | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.