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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.15+5.55vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+0.23vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.72+1.09vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.92+2.49vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.69-0.93vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.04+3.29vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.70+0.05vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.47-3.35vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.10+0.09vs Predicted
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11University of Toronto-0.08-0.56vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-0.52-0.10vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.22-9.12vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38-2.60vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-1.54-0.64vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-2.42-0.29vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-1.14-3.52vs Predicted
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18Queen's University0.01-7.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.23Cornell University2.540.3%1st Place
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5.09Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Buffalo0.920.1%1st Place
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5.07Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.040.0%1st Place
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8.05Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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5.65Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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10.09Drexel University0.100.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Rochester-0.520.0%1st Place
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3.88University of Pennsylvania2.220.2%1st Place
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11.4Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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14.36U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
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15.71Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
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13.48Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
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10.3Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alldian | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 25.5% | 20.1% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mueller | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Ted Wingender | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Boland | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Bryan Krol | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Barton | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 3.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 18.5% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Teague | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 2.1% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 29.5% | 21.3% |
| John Driscoll | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 58.9% |
| Claire Michaud | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 20.1% | 10.7% |
| Simone Larose | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.