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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.41vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.15+2.94vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.69+0.47vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.01+4.27vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.72-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.17+1.97vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.47-3.06vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.92-2.29vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.14+2.63vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.04-1.51vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-2.42+2.84vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.10-3.82vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.70-6.61vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38-4.40vs Predicted
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17University of Toronto-0.08-6.25vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-1.54-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
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2.41University of Pennsylvania3.160.4%1st Place
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6.94Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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5.47Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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10.27Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
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5.49Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Rochester0.170.0%1st Place
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5.94Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Buffalo0.920.0%1st Place
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13.63Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.040.0%1st Place
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15.84Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
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10.18Drexel University0.100.0%1st Place
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8.39Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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11.6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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14.53U. S. Military Academy-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Kelter | 20.8% | 21.5% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 36.3% | 26.5% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Larose | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Johanna Monro | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kasper | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Claire Michaud | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 22.5% | 10.4% |
| Andrew Mueller | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| John Driscoll | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 9.0% | 17.8% | 59.5% |
| Dylan Boland | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Ted Wingender | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Teague | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Bryan Krol | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Nina Tucker | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 28.1% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.