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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+5.11vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.60+6.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.43+2.65vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.18+2.41vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.79+2.54vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.55-0.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.69+0.76vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.80-3.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-2.47vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.10-0.20vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.21-4.72vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.74vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39+0.85vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.42-0.14vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.70-2.77vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.95-3.05vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.54-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Northeastern University1.269.2%1st Place
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8.25Connecticut College0.605.1%1st Place
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5.65Tufts University1.4310.8%1st Place
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6.41University of Rhode Island1.188.3%1st Place
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7.54Brown University0.796.2%1st Place
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5.26Brown University1.5513.4%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University0.695.3%1st Place
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4.48University of Rhode Island1.8016.2%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.098.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Vermont0.103.0%1st Place
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6.28Salve Regina University1.218.1%1st Place
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10.26University of New Hampshire-0.002.6%1st Place
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13.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.7%1st Place
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13.86Middlebury College-1.420.5%1st Place
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12.23Bates College-0.701.3%1st Place
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12.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.951.1%1st Place
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15.77Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.540.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Helen Horangic | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 16.2% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hayes | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 23.4% | 15.4% |
| William Procter | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 24.9% | 14.5% |
| Colby Green | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 3.5% |
| Daniel Faivre | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 6.2% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 59.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.