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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+3.53vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.55+3.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.43+2.71vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.18+2.45vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.26+1.07vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.60+2.33vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.69+0.84vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.70+4.01vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.95+3.80vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39+3.88vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.79-3.38vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-5.46vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.54+2.69vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.42-0.11vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.00-4.69vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.10-6.07vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.21-10.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53University of Rhode Island1.8015.7%1st Place
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5.3Brown University1.5512.2%1st Place
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5.71Tufts University1.4310.2%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island1.189.3%1st Place
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6.07Northeastern University1.268.8%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College0.604.9%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University0.696.2%1st Place
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12.01Bates College-0.701.4%1st Place
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12.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.951.1%1st Place
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13.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.6%1st Place
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7.62Brown University0.796.1%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.097.1%1st Place
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15.69Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.540.2%1st Place
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13.89Middlebury College-1.420.8%1st Place
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10.31University of New Hampshire-0.002.5%1st Place
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9.93University of Vermont0.102.8%1st Place
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6.11Salve Regina University1.2110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 15.7% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Colby Green | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 3.5% |
| Daniel Faivre | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 7.4% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 19.7% | 24.8% | 14.8% |
| Helen Horangic | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 58.5% |
| William Procter | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 25.1% | 14.9% |
| James Sullivan | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Michael Hayes | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Peter Cronin | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.