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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.55+4.22vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.70+10.28vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.43+2.59vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.10+5.82vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.79+2.60vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.60+2.31vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.21-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.80-3.53vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.26-2.93vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.54+5.83vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.95+1.81vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.69-4.21vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.18-6.64vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.42-0.13vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-8.38vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-2.18vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.00-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Brown University1.5513.9%1st Place
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12.28Bates College-0.701.1%1st Place
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5.59Tufts University1.4310.9%1st Place
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9.82University of Vermont0.103.2%1st Place
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7.6Brown University0.795.2%1st Place
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8.31Connecticut College0.604.6%1st Place
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6.22Salve Regina University1.219.7%1st Place
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4.47University of Rhode Island1.8016.0%1st Place
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6.07Northeastern University1.269.2%1st Place
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15.83Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.540.3%1st Place
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12.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.951.1%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University0.695.7%1st Place
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6.36University of Rhode Island1.188.6%1st Place
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13.87Middlebury College-1.420.6%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.097.2%1st Place
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13.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.6%1st Place
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10.32University of New Hampshire-0.002.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 13.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 4.2% |
| Jack Flores | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hayes | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Helen Horangic | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 16.0% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 59.9% |
| Daniel Faivre | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 18.8% | 16.4% | 6.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Edward Gary | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Procter | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 24.9% | 14.6% |
| Jack Derry | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 24.9% | 14.1% |
| James Sullivan | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.