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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.55+4.33vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+4.51vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.79+4.65vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.21+2.19vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.43+0.71vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.26+0.05vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.80-2.57vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.18-1.49vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.10+0.87vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.60-1.74vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.69-3.10vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.42+2.12vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.70-0.87vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-0.16vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.00-4.98vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.95-3.29vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.54-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Brown University1.5511.6%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.098.9%1st Place
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7.65Brown University0.795.3%1st Place
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6.19Salve Regina University1.218.8%1st Place
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5.71Tufts University1.4310.1%1st Place
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6.05Northeastern University1.269.8%1st Place
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4.43University of Rhode Island1.8017.6%1st Place
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6.51University of Rhode Island1.188.5%1st Place
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9.87University of Vermont0.102.9%1st Place
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8.26Connecticut College0.604.3%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University0.694.8%1st Place
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14.12Middlebury College-1.420.6%1st Place
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12.13Bates College-0.701.7%1st Place
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13.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.5%1st Place
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10.02University of New Hampshire-0.002.9%1st Place
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12.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.951.2%1st Place
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15.79Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.540.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Helen Horangic | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 17.6% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hayes | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Procter | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 20.7% | 24.9% | 15.6% |
| Colby Green | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 3.5% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 19.1% | 25.4% | 13.5% |
| James Sullivan | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Faivre | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 17.3% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.