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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.18+5.44vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.43+3.63vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.80+1.49vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.26+2.01vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+2.74vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+0.61vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.60+1.15vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.21-1.68vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.79-1.33vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.55-4.68vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.70+1.26vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.10-2.17vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.42+0.87vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.95-1.06vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-1.23vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.00-5.87vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.54-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44University of Rhode Island1.188.9%1st Place
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5.63Tufts University1.4310.3%1st Place
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4.49University of Rhode Island1.8015.6%1st Place
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6.01Northeastern University1.268.7%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University0.695.7%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.098.1%1st Place
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8.15Connecticut College0.604.8%1st Place
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6.32Salve Regina University1.219.0%1st Place
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7.67Brown University0.796.5%1st Place
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5.32Brown University1.5512.6%1st Place
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12.26Bates College-0.701.8%1st Place
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9.83University of Vermont0.102.5%1st Place
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13.87Middlebury College-1.420.7%1st Place
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12.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.951.0%1st Place
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13.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.7%1st Place
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10.13University of New Hampshire-0.003.1%1st Place
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15.81Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Gary | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 15.6% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Horangic | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 3.4% |
| Michael Hayes | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| William Procter | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 18.6% | 24.7% | 14.5% |
| Daniel Faivre | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 5.1% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 24.6% | 14.0% |
| James Sullivan | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.