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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.89vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+2.19vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+2.07vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.69+2.30vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.72+1.21vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.01+5.61vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38+5.62vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo0.92+0.65vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.47-2.10vs Predicted
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10University of Toronto-0.08+1.95vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-4.87vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-0.52+1.25vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.15-5.08vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.10-2.96vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.14-0.54vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-1.68-0.32vs Predicted
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17Ocean County College0.70-7.54vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-2.42-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89University of Pennsylvania3.160.3%1st Place
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4.19Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
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6.3Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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6.21Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
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11.61Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
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12.62Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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8.65University of Buffalo0.920.0%1st Place
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6.9Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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11.95University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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13.25University of Rochester-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.92Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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11.04Drexel University0.100.0%1st Place
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14.46Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
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15.68U. S. Military Academy-1.680.0%1st Place
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9.46Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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16.68Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 28.5% | 24.6% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 13.7% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Larose | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Peter Teague | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Vincent Storino | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barton | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
| David Alldian | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Boland | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Claire Michaud | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 20.0% | 9.2% |
| Kurt Adams | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 29.4% | 24.7% |
| Ted Wingender | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Driscoll | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 20.6% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.