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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.80+3.46vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.43+3.65vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.26+3.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55+1.22vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.10+4.79vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.21+0.38vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.18-0.58vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.69-0.15vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.60-0.55vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.79-2.30vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-4.62vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.70+0.07vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.42+0.95vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.95-1.22vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.00-4.80vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-2.23vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.54-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46University of Rhode Island1.8015.6%1st Place
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5.65Tufts University1.4311.1%1st Place
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6.07Northeastern University1.2611.2%1st Place
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5.22Brown University1.5512.4%1st Place
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9.79University of Vermont0.103.5%1st Place
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6.38Salve Regina University1.217.9%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island1.188.4%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University0.694.7%1st Place
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8.45Connecticut College0.603.8%1st Place
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7.7Brown University0.795.5%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.099.0%1st Place
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12.07Bates College-0.701.7%1st Place
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13.95Middlebury College-1.420.5%1st Place
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12.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.951.0%1st Place
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10.2University of New Hampshire-0.002.8%1st Place
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13.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.6%1st Place
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15.85Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.540.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 15.6% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hayes | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Peter Cronin | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Edward Gary | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Helen Horangic | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Derry | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 3.7% |
| William Procter | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 26.6% | 14.0% |
| Daniel Faivre | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 5.7% |
| James Sullivan | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 20.2% | 22.9% | 13.2% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.