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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.60+3.39vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+1.71vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.58+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.19-0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.34+0.81vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.19-0.50vs Predicted
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7Fordham University-0.99+0.56vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.28-2.81vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.03-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Christopher Newport University0.6012.6%1st Place
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3.71St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9017.5%1st Place
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3.4Hampton University0.5822.1%1st Place
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3.81University of South Florida1.1917.8%1st Place
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5.81University of Virginia-0.345.7%1st Place
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5.5Washington College0.197.3%1st Place
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7.56Fordham University-0.992.1%1st Place
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5.19Old Dominion University0.287.6%1st Place
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5.62North Carolina State University-0.037.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Atherton | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
Max Kleha | 17.5% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
Tyler Brown | 22.1% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
Humberto Porrata | 17.8% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
Maxwell Penders | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 13.4% |
Joseph Bonacci | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 10.1% |
Brendan Sheeran | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 16.2% | 52.5% |
Jonah Willoughby | 7.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 7.0% |
Annika Milstien | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.