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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+3.38vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.90+4.31vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.79+1.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+0.85vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.03vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.41+1.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-1.63vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67-3.51vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-4.08vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.04-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Connecticut College3.710.2%1st Place
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6.31Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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4.33Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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4.85Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.27Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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4.49Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 15.4% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Emilie Mademann | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 11.7% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 19.0% | 26.3% |
| Krysta Rohde | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 13.6% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.