Race 1A

invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sophia Montgomery 6.2% 9.4% 8.7% 10.3% 11.9% 13.2% 17.3% 16.8% 6.1%
Thomas Johnson 7.4% 7.6% 9.6% 10.2% 12.4% 13.5% 14.6% 17.9% 6.6%
Adrien Bellanger 12.2% 12.3% 13.6% 12.8% 13.7% 13.1% 11.9% 8.4% 2.1%
Dylan Ascencios 25.7% 19.8% 17.3% 15.1% 10.8% 6.5% 3.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Christine Reimer 8.2% 8.9% 9.0% 10.2% 12.7% 14.1% 15.5% 16.2% 5.1%
Liam Lawless 8.1% 8.2% 9.7% 10.8% 11.6% 13.4% 16.4% 16.3% 5.5%
Brooke Schmelz 20.0% 20.0% 16.2% 16.3% 11.4% 8.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.2%
Nicholas Hurley 11.0% 12.4% 14.3% 12.0% 13.2% 13.8% 11.1% 9.8% 2.5%
William Stottlemyer 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 2.4% 3.5% 5.1% 10.9% 71.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.