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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+4.18vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.01+8.87vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54+0.06vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo0.92+2.81vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.69-0.60vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.72-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Toronto-0.08+2.93vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.17+1.34vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.15-2.79vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College0.70-2.24vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.10-1.73vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.47-7.16vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-2.42+1.85vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38-3.18vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-1.14-2.21vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-1.68-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96University of Pennsylvania3.160.3%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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11.87Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
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4.06Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Buffalo0.920.0%1st Place
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6.4Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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6.27Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Rochester0.170.0%1st Place
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8.21Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.76Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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11.27Drexel University0.100.0%1st Place
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6.84Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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16.85Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
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12.82Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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14.79Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
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15.61U. S. Military Academy-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 27.4% | 23.4% | 17.3% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Larose | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Connor Kelter | 17.4% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Connor Kasper | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| David Alldian | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ted Wingender | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Boland | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Driscoll | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 18.7% | 59.9% |
| Peter Teague | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Claire Michaud | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 21.8% | 23.6% | 12.2% |
| Kurt Adams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 32.7% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.