Race 2A

invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nicholas Hurley 11.3% 12.0% 13.4% 14.1% 12.6% 13.8% 11.6% 9.2% 2.1%
Dylan Ascencios 24.4% 23.3% 17.8% 15.1% 8.5% 6.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.1%
Sophia Montgomery 7.7% 8.8% 8.8% 9.9% 12.2% 12.8% 15.9% 17.3% 6.5%
Adrien Bellanger 11.5% 12.2% 12.2% 14.2% 14.5% 14.1% 11.2% 8.2% 1.9%
Thomas Johnson 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% 10.8% 12.2% 14.4% 15.3% 17.8% 6.0%
Brooke Schmelz 21.5% 19.0% 18.8% 13.8% 11.9% 7.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.2%
Liam Lawless 8.5% 7.5% 9.0% 10.2% 13.5% 13.1% 15.8% 17.6% 4.9%
Christine Reimer 7.4% 8.0% 10.1% 10.0% 12.6% 14.0% 16.7% 15.6% 5.7%
William Stottlemyer 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 4.0% 5.1% 10.8% 72.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.