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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.92vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.72+4.53vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+2.08vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.92+4.76vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.54-0.89vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.69+0.43vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.01+4.69vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.17+3.17vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.15-0.93vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.47-2.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-4.85vs Predicted
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12University of Toronto-0.08+0.18vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.10-1.73vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38-1.41vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.70-5.49vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-1.14-1.29vs Predicted
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17Penn State University-2.42-0.10vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-1.68-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92University of Pennsylvania3.160.3%1st Place
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6.53Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
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5.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Buffalo0.920.0%1st Place
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4.11Cornell University2.540.2%1st Place
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6.43Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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11.69Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Rochester0.170.0%1st Place
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8.07Villanova University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.25Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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12.18University of Toronto-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.27Drexel University0.100.0%1st Place
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12.59Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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9.51Ocean County College0.700.0%1st Place
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14.71Syracuse University-1.140.0%1st Place
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16.9Penn State University-2.420.0%1st Place
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15.66U. S. Military Academy-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 29.1% | 21.8% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 17.8% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Simone Larose | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Connor Kasper | 1.9% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| David Alldian | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Krol | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Dylan Boland | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Peter Teague | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Ted Wingender | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Claire Michaud | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 22.0% | 23.9% | 10.0% |
| John Driscoll | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 19.1% | 60.2% |
| Kurt Adams | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 15.9% | 32.5% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.