Race 3A

invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Thomas Johnson 7.1% 9.5% 9.3% 10.6% 11.9% 13.6% 15.5% 16.9% 5.5%
Nicholas Hurley 11.8% 12.0% 11.2% 12.0% 13.5% 14.5% 12.8% 9.8% 2.4%
Brooke Schmelz 21.2% 19.6% 18.1% 14.1% 10.9% 8.5% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Dylan Ascencios 24.6% 20.6% 18.6% 15.0% 10.3% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Christine Reimer 8.8% 9.8% 9.2% 10.2% 12.0% 14.1% 15.6% 15.8% 4.4%
Sophia Montgomery 7.1% 7.0% 9.4% 9.8% 12.4% 13.6% 14.5% 19.1% 7.2%
Adrien Bellanger 10.9% 12.0% 12.6% 14.9% 13.7% 12.9% 12.5% 8.8% 1.6%
Liam Lawless 6.9% 8.6% 9.8% 11.0% 12.6% 13.0% 15.2% 16.2% 6.7%
William Stottlemyer 1.5% 1.1% 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 3.6% 5.3% 10.3% 71.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.