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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.00+1.33vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.08+1.81vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.01+1.02vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.86+2.59vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.27+0.52vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota1.18-0.26vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois1.22-2.35vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.83+1.22vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.84-4.39vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame-0.92-2.71vs Predicted
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14Marquette University-0.68-3.94vs Predicted
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16University of Iowa-1.65-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33University of South Florida3.000.4%1st Place
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3.81University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Notre Dame0.860.0%1st Place
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5.52Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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8.49Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Illinois1.220.1%1st Place
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10.22Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.61Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.06Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Iowa-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Perry | 39.0% | 25.2% | 16.7% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 14.8% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 12.4% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Koerwer | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Bruce | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joel Florek | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Charles Diamond | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 22.9% | 16.1% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 16.6% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 21.9% | 13.3% |
| Mitchell Roesler | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 20.0% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.