Race 2A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Oltrogge 13.5% 15.9% 16.8% 15.8% 12.2% 11.3% 6.4% 5.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Bocklet 14.5% 18.1% 17.3% 14.9% 14.0% 8.2% 6.1% 4.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Perry 39.8% 25.4% 15.5% 10.7% 5.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joel Florek 1.5% 1.7% 2.6% 3.1% 4.9% 6.1% 8.9% 10.6% 13.4% 18.8% 15.4% 10.5% 2.5%
Isabella Hamilton 6.4% 7.4% 10.4% 10.2% 12.1% 11.5% 13.0% 12.2% 7.3% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Jacob Bruce 6.7% 8.5% 10.3% 11.2% 12.8% 13.7% 11.1% 11.5% 8.0% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Evelyn Ritter 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.8% 5.1% 5.8% 9.3% 12.8% 18.1% 23.1% 15.2%
Christian Koerwer 4.0% 6.5% 6.3% 9.3% 8.7% 12.9% 13.1% 12.4% 14.1% 8.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Charles Diamond 6.0% 7.4% 10.1% 10.5% 13.5% 11.6% 12.9% 9.9% 10.0% 5.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Mason Chrabaszcz 4.8% 5.8% 6.6% 8.6% 9.6% 10.6% 12.8% 13.4% 11.6% 8.7% 5.3% 1.5% 0.7%
Rebecca Jegier 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 1.4% 2.1% 4.3% 3.8% 5.4% 10.2% 12.8% 18.5% 22.2% 17.4%
Courtney Kronschnabel 0.6% 0.8% 1.8% 1.9% 2.3% 3.8% 3.8% 6.7% 8.6% 14.1% 21.0% 21.8% 12.8%
Mitchell Roesler 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 2.0% 2.3% 3.8% 6.7% 12.5% 18.3% 51.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.