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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.28vs Predicted
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2Harvard University0.70+3.41vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.18+1.59vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12-1.01vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.18-0.47vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.73-0.62vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.76-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.68-2.64vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.13-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7721.4%1st Place
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5.41Harvard University0.707.2%1st Place
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4.59Dartmouth College1.1810.8%1st Place
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2.99Harvard University2.1225.8%1st Place
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4.53Tufts University1.1810.8%1st Place
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5.38Northeastern University0.737.4%1st Place
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5.3Bowdoin College0.767.6%1st Place
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5.36University of Rhode Island0.688.1%1st Place
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8.17Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.130.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brooke Schmelz | 21.4% | 18.8% | 19.8% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Sophia Montgomery | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 6.7% |
Nicholas Hurley | 10.8% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
Dylan Ascencios | 25.8% | 21.4% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Adrien Bellanger | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 1.8% |
Liam Lawless | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 5.7% |
Christine Reimer | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 5.5% |
Thomas Johnson | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 6.2% |
William Stottlemyer | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 11.2% | 70.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.