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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University0.70+4.48vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.68+3.32vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.38vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12-0.96vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.18-0.49vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.18-1.50vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.76-1.69vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.13+0.12vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.73-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Harvard University0.707.4%1st Place
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5.32University of Rhode Island0.688.3%1st Place
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3.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7719.7%1st Place
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3.04Harvard University2.1227.0%1st Place
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4.51Tufts University1.1810.7%1st Place
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4.5Dartmouth College1.1811.4%1st Place
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5.31Bowdoin College0.766.9%1st Place
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8.12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.131.5%1st Place
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5.34Northeastern University0.737.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sophia Montgomery | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 6.8% |
Thomas Johnson | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 5.7% |
Brooke Schmelz | 19.7% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
Dylan Ascencios | 27.0% | 20.2% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Adrien Bellanger | 10.7% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 2.5% |
Nicholas Hurley | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 1.5% |
Christine Reimer | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 6.6% |
William Stottlemyer | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 70.4% |
Liam Lawless | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.