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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.00+1.33vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.01+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.18+2.88vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.05+4.67vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.08-1.23vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.27-0.46vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.83+3.08vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois1.22-2.36vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-1.65+2.53vs Predicted
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10Marquette University0.84-3.35vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame0.86-4.57vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-0.68-2.97vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame-0.92-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33University of South Florida3.000.4%1st Place
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3.98University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Minnesota1.180.0%1st Place
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8.67Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
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3.77University of Wisconsin2.080.2%1st Place
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5.54Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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10.08Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Illinois1.220.1%1st Place
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11.53University of Iowa-1.650.0%1st Place
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6.65Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Notre Dame0.860.0%1st Place
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10.03Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Perry | 38.6% | 25.2% | 17.7% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 14.3% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Joel Florek | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Charles Bocklet | 15.2% | 19.7% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 21.0% | 15.0% |
| Charles Diamond | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Roesler | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 19.4% | 49.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Christian Koerwer | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 20.2% | 13.4% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 24.2% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.