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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+2.02vs Predicted
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2Harvard University0.70+3.53vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.18+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.68+1.39vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.71vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.73-0.69vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.18-2.47vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.76-2.70vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.13-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Harvard University2.1225.9%1st Place
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5.53Harvard University0.705.2%1st Place
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4.51Dartmouth College1.1811.7%1st Place
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5.39University of Rhode Island0.687.5%1st Place
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3.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7721.3%1st Place
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5.31Northeastern University0.738.2%1st Place
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4.53Tufts University1.1811.1%1st Place
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5.3Bowdoin College0.767.8%1st Place
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8.12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.131.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dylan Ascencios | 25.9% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Sophia Montgomery | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 6.7% |
Nicholas Hurley | 11.7% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
Thomas Johnson | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 6.0% |
Brooke Schmelz | 21.3% | 20.4% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
Liam Lawless | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 5.9% |
Adrien Bellanger | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
Christine Reimer | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 5.7% |
William Stottlemyer | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 10.8% | 70.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.