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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.73+4.28vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.18+2.69vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.12+0.04vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.74vs Predicted
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5Harvard University0.70+0.42vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.18-1.42vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.13+1.19vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.76-2.71vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.68-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Northeastern University0.738.7%1st Place
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4.69Dartmouth College1.1810.1%1st Place
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3.04Harvard University2.1224.6%1st Place
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3.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7721.6%1st Place
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5.42Harvard University0.706.3%1st Place
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4.58Tufts University1.1810.8%1st Place
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8.19Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.131.1%1st Place
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5.29Bowdoin College0.768.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Rhode Island0.688.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Lawless | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 5.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 2.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 24.6% | 21.6% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 21.6% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 6.8% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 2.1% |
| William Stottlemyer | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 71.5% |
| Christine Reimer | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 5.5% |
| Thomas Johnson | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.