← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Minnesota2.01+3.00vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin2.08+1.83vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida3.00-0.71vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University-0.05+4.72vs Predicted
-
5University of Illinois1.22+0.67vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University1.27-0.49vs Predicted
-
7University of Notre Dame0.86-0.57vs Predicted
-
8Marquette University0.84-1.49vs Predicted
-
10University of Minnesota1.18-4.21vs Predicted
-
12Hope College-0.83-1.78vs Predicted
-
13University of Notre Dame-0.92-2.72vs Predicted
-
15University of Iowa-1.65-3.37vs Predicted
-
16Marquette University-0.68-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.0University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
-
3.83University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
-
2.29University of South Florida3.000.4%1st Place
-
8.72Michigan Technological University-0.050.0%1st Place
-
5.67University of Illinois1.220.1%1st Place
-
5.51Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
-
6.43University of Notre Dame0.860.1%1st Place
-
6.51Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
-
5.79University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
-
10.22Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
-
10.28University of Notre Dame-0.920.0%1st Place
-
11.63University of Iowa-1.650.0%1st Place
-
10.13Marquette University-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 13.6% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 14.8% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Perry | 39.4% | 25.4% | 16.5% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 3.5% |
| Charles Diamond | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christian Koerwer | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 21.1% | 21.1% | 16.4% |
| Rebecca Jegier | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 19.4% | 23.8% | 14.3% |
| Mitchell Roesler | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 19.1% | 50.5% |
| Courtney Kronschnabel | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 20.7% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.