Race 8A

invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nicholas Hurley 10.8% 11.7% 13.8% 11.9% 13.5% 13.5% 11.6% 10.9% 2.4%
Brooke Schmelz 21.1% 20.3% 17.3% 15.4% 10.9% 8.1% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Adrien Bellanger 11.2% 11.3% 13.6% 13.1% 14.9% 13.7% 11.1% 8.6% 2.5%
Dylan Ascencios 26.4% 21.9% 16.9% 13.5% 10.1% 6.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Thomas Johnson 7.1% 7.8% 9.9% 11.0% 12.7% 13.3% 14.7% 16.9% 6.7%
Sophia Montgomery 7.0% 7.3% 9.2% 11.7% 11.8% 14.1% 15.3% 17.8% 5.9%
Liam Lawless 7.4% 9.5% 9.0% 11.1% 11.2% 13.8% 17.0% 16.2% 4.8%
Christine Reimer 7.6% 8.3% 8.8% 10.2% 12.5% 13.3% 16.4% 17.2% 5.6%
William Stottlemyer 1.4% 1.9% 1.6% 2.2% 2.4% 3.5% 6.0% 9.5% 71.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.