Race 6A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Paul Perry 39.0% 25.1% 16.9% 9.4% 5.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Oltrogge 13.2% 16.4% 18.7% 14.2% 13.8% 9.8% 5.6% 5.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Bocklet 14.4% 17.9% 16.2% 14.1% 14.8% 10.2% 6.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Isabella Hamilton 5.8% 6.8% 8.7% 12.4% 12.4% 11.8% 12.9% 10.9% 10.0% 5.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Charles Diamond 7.2% 6.9% 11.2% 11.6% 10.2% 12.3% 13.6% 10.2% 9.2% 5.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Jacob Bruce 6.5% 9.4% 10.0% 11.6% 11.9% 12.8% 12.0% 11.7% 7.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Joel Florek 2.8% 2.2% 2.7% 3.5% 5.8% 6.1% 6.9% 9.4% 15.0% 16.7% 17.3% 9.0% 2.6%
Christian Koerwer 4.6% 6.1% 6.0% 8.5% 9.3% 11.5% 13.4% 15.1% 13.5% 6.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.1%
Mason Chrabaszcz 3.9% 6.4% 5.8% 7.5% 8.3% 12.3% 14.8% 13.6% 12.3% 8.9% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5%
Rebecca Jegier 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 2.8% 1.5% 2.9% 3.2% 4.9% 6.8% 14.7% 18.8% 23.5% 18.1%
Courtney Kronschnabel 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 2.1% 3.4% 3.6% 4.6% 8.0% 10.4% 15.6% 21.1% 17.5% 11.1%
Evelyn Ritter 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 1.9% 3.2% 3.9% 4.5% 8.7% 14.1% 16.8% 25.0% 17.4%
Mitchell Roesler 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 1.9% 2.3% 3.4% 6.3% 12.7% 20.1% 49.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.