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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.18+3.44vs Predicted
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2Harvard University0.70+3.49vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.18+1.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.69vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.76+0.30vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.73-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.68-1.69vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.13+0.18vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.12-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Tufts University1.1811.7%1st Place
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5.49Harvard University0.706.8%1st Place
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4.63Dartmouth College1.1811.3%1st Place
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3.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7721.5%1st Place
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5.3Bowdoin College0.767.3%1st Place
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5.35Northeastern University0.737.8%1st Place
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5.31University of Rhode Island0.687.3%1st Place
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8.18Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.131.5%1st Place
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2.99Harvard University2.1224.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrien Bellanger | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 2.1% |
Sophia Montgomery | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 7.7% |
Nicholas Hurley | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 2.5% |
Brooke Schmelz | 21.5% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
Christine Reimer | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 5.0% |
Liam Lawless | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 5.5% |
Thomas Johnson | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 5.0% |
William Stottlemyer | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 72.0% |
Dylan Ascencios | 24.7% | 21.8% | 19.8% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.