Race 7A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Paul Perry 37.8% 26.9% 17.3% 8.7% 5.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Diamond 6.6% 6.6% 9.4% 12.3% 12.1% 14.3% 11.4% 10.4% 9.2% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Emily Oltrogge 13.0% 16.6% 16.1% 15.3% 14.3% 9.8% 7.8% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Bocklet 15.9% 16.1% 18.6% 14.5% 12.9% 9.5% 5.5% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Jacob Bruce 7.3% 8.7% 9.7% 11.7% 11.7% 11.7% 13.6% 11.0% 8.3% 3.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Christian Koerwer 3.8% 6.3% 6.1% 9.7% 10.0% 11.3% 13.4% 13.2% 11.7% 8.0% 4.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Joel Florek 2.5% 2.2% 3.3% 3.2% 5.4% 6.3% 6.9% 10.6% 14.3% 17.6% 14.4% 10.8% 2.5%
Mason Chrabaszcz 4.1% 6.3% 6.8% 8.2% 8.7% 10.5% 14.7% 13.7% 12.5% 8.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Isabella Hamilton 6.1% 7.4% 9.0% 9.5% 12.3% 14.2% 11.8% 11.2% 9.1% 5.4% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Courtney Kronschnabel 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 3.0% 2.6% 2.9% 4.2% 6.4% 9.7% 15.7% 20.1% 19.6% 12.4%
Evelyn Ritter 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 1.5% 2.6% 3.1% 5.1% 6.6% 9.3% 14.5% 20.1% 21.8% 12.9%
Mitchell Roesler 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 2.9% 4.2% 7.4% 9.6% 18.8% 51.6%
Rebecca Jegier 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.8% 1.4% 2.3% 3.1% 5.2% 7.7% 13.4% 18.5% 23.9% 20.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.