Race 8A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Paul Perry 39.9% 25.0% 16.2% 9.7% 4.9% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Bocklet 14.0% 18.6% 17.2% 17.1% 12.9% 7.6% 6.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Oltrogge 13.2% 17.1% 15.3% 14.0% 14.9% 9.9% 8.4% 4.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Isabella Hamilton 5.2% 8.0% 9.3% 11.4% 12.4% 12.2% 11.5% 12.4% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.3%
Charles Diamond 7.3% 7.4% 10.7% 9.9% 11.7% 13.6% 13.3% 10.2% 8.5% 4.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Joel Florek 1.9% 1.5% 3.2% 4.5% 3.8% 6.8% 7.9% 9.8% 14.6% 17.6% 14.6% 10.1% 3.7%
Christian Koerwer 6.4% 5.1% 7.0% 7.8% 8.7% 11.7% 12.6% 15.4% 9.8% 8.3% 5.6% 1.3% 0.3%
Evelyn Ritter 0.8% 1.7% 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 3.6% 3.2% 5.0% 8.9% 13.9% 19.8% 22.1% 15.9%
Rebecca Jegier 0.4% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 2.7% 2.4% 2.9% 4.4% 7.9% 13.5% 16.2% 25.7% 19.1%
Mitchell Roesler 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 2.4% 4.2% 6.2% 12.3% 19.2% 48.6%
Courtney Kronschnabel 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 2.4% 2.8% 3.8% 5.0% 5.9% 11.6% 16.8% 19.9% 17.4% 11.4%
Jacob Bruce 5.9% 8.0% 9.2% 12.3% 11.2% 12.7% 12.4% 12.5% 9.2% 3.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Mason Chrabaszcz 3.7% 4.9% 7.2% 6.5% 10.7% 11.4% 13.1% 13.4% 12.6% 9.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.