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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.18+3.53vs Predicted
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2Harvard University0.70+3.38vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.36vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12-1.04vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.18-0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.68-0.69vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.73-1.59vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.76-2.64vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.13-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Tufts University1.1811.4%1st Place
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5.38Harvard University0.707.4%1st Place
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3.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7719.7%1st Place
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2.96Harvard University2.1227.5%1st Place
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4.46Dartmouth College1.1811.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Rhode Island0.686.9%1st Place
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5.41Northeastern University0.737.5%1st Place
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5.36Bowdoin College0.767.5%1st Place
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8.24Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.130.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrien Bellanger | 11.4% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 1.6% |
Sophia Montgomery | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 5.9% |
Brooke Schmelz | 19.7% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
Dylan Ascencios | 27.5% | 21.0% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Nicholas Hurley | 11.1% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% |
Thomas Johnson | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 5.1% |
Liam Lawless | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 5.5% |
Christine Reimer | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 5.1% |
William Stottlemyer | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 73.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.