← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.60+3.34vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University0.28+3.18vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+0.75vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University0.58-0.57vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.19-1.13vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University-0.99+1.53vs Predicted
-
7Washington College0.19-1.49vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-0.03-2.44vs Predicted
-
9University of Virginia-0.34-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.34Christopher Newport University0.6013.3%1st Place
-
5.18Old Dominion University0.288.3%1st Place
-
3.75St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9017.9%1st Place
-
3.43Hampton University0.5819.9%1st Place
-
3.87University of South Florida1.1916.9%1st Place
-
7.53Fordham University-0.992.2%1st Place
-
5.51Washington College0.198.1%1st Place
-
5.56North Carolina State University-0.036.9%1st Place
-
5.82University of Virginia-0.346.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Atherton | 13.3% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
Jonah Willoughby | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 7.0% |
Max Kleha | 17.9% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
Tyler Brown | 19.9% | 20.9% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Humberto Porrata | 16.9% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
Brendan Sheeran | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 52.6% |
Joseph Bonacci | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 10.4% |
Annika Milstien | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 10.0% |
Maxwell Penders | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.