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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+3.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.43vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+1.61vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.90+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.04+2.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48-1.13vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.79-2.80vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-3.16vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.41-1.63vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Connecticut College3.710.2%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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4.61Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.32Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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4.87Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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4.2Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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4.84Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.37Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 5.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 14.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 11.8% |
| Laura Cuccio | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 17.3% | 41.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 13.6% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Fiske | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 21.3% | 26.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.