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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame2.27+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.13+1.22vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32-0.10vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.16+1.02vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.79+0.65vs Predicted
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6Marquette University1.11-0.94vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-1.55+1.20vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota0.84-4.41vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-2.03+0.09vs Predicted
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12Hope College-1.13-2.51vs Predicted
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13University of Iowa-1.06-3.76vs Predicted
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14Michigan Technological University-1.57-3.55vs Predicted
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15Northern Michigan University-1.37-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Notre Dame2.270.2%1st Place
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3.22University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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2.9Tufts University2.320.3%1st Place
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5.02Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Illinois0.790.1%1st Place
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5.06Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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10.2Marquette University-1.550.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Notre Dame-2.030.0%1st Place
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9.49Hope College-1.130.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Iowa-1.060.0%1st Place
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10.45Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
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10.08Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Flanigan | 23.9% | 22.0% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 20.4% | 21.0% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 25.1% | 22.3% | 20.1% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Melinda Lee | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 7.6% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen O'Shea | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 20.6% | 16.0% |
| Eric Villadsen | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrienne Huschke | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 37.3% |
| Katie Brudos | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 8.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 9.6% | 5.9% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 19.4% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.