Race 2B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alison Kent 20.7% 19.3% 20.8% 14.8% 11.6% 7.4% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Flanigan 23.3% 24.3% 17.5% 14.4% 11.4% 5.6% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Melinda Lee 4.7% 5.9% 6.5% 11.5% 12.7% 16.0% 19.6% 13.6% 6.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Kate Klement 25.1% 22.1% 19.6% 15.6% 10.1% 3.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Cottle 8.7% 9.6% 12.0% 12.2% 14.1% 15.9% 13.7% 10.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Clulo 7.2% 8.7% 11.9% 11.8% 14.4% 17.5% 15.4% 7.0% 4.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Adrienne Huschke 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 1.3% 0.9% 1.9% 2.6% 5.5% 8.0% 9.9% 13.3% 20.8% 34.9%
Eric Villadsen 7.0% 6.2% 6.7% 12.0% 12.8% 16.1% 18.1% 12.1% 6.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Maggie Kloote 0.4% 1.2% 0.5% 1.3% 1.9% 2.8% 3.4% 6.2% 11.0% 14.9% 19.7% 16.9% 19.8%
Eric Hansen 0.7% 0.6% 2.0% 2.0% 3.1% 4.1% 4.8% 11.0% 17.9% 17.6% 17.1% 11.8% 7.3%
Katie Brudos 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 2.9% 4.4% 6.7% 13.8% 16.4% 19.5% 14.3% 11.9% 6.6%
Kathleen O'Shea 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 2.0% 1.9% 4.1% 8.4% 11.0% 15.8% 16.2% 19.6% 18.8%
Cortney Kingsley 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.5% 3.7% 9.0% 15.0% 15.9% 17.3% 18.6% 12.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.