Race 3B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alison Kent 21.7% 21.4% 18.9% 17.3% 12.0% 5.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Flanigan 24.1% 24.5% 18.9% 16.2% 9.2% 4.9% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Klement 26.0% 23.2% 20.0% 15.9% 8.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cortney Kingsley 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 2.1% 2.2% 3.6% 8.4% 13.1% 15.4% 16.7% 14.9% 13.6% 8.1%
Ryan Clulo 8.4% 8.3% 14.0% 13.6% 14.9% 20.6% 13.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Hansen 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 2.4% 4.2% 5.7% 10.0% 15.0% 18.1% 16.9% 12.2% 9.3% 3.2%
Travis Cottle 9.2% 10.4% 12.0% 14.9% 19.4% 16.1% 9.9% 5.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Villadsen 6.5% 6.8% 8.4% 12.6% 16.5% 21.1% 15.2% 9.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Adrienne Huschke 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 1.8% 2.5% 3.8% 5.2% 9.4% 11.2% 17.4% 21.1% 25.5%
Noor Willemsen 1.1% 1.9% 3.7% 2.6% 5.4% 8.6% 16.9% 19.5% 16.6% 11.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.2%
Kathleen O'Shea 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% 2.4% 3.9% 7.6% 11.1% 15.2% 16.0% 17.5% 14.0% 10.0%
Maggie Kloote 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 2.3% 2.4% 6.8% 10.8% 12.7% 14.9% 16.2% 18.6% 12.5%
Jared Miller 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 1.0% 1.1% 2.8% 4.2% 6.5% 10.4% 14.1% 19.5% 39.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.