Race 3A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Allen 15.1% 13.4% 11.6% 12.2% 9.3% 9.2% 7.5% 8.2% 5.3% 3.3% 2.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Andreas Keswater 8.8% 8.2% 9.0% 8.4% 7.7% 8.5% 7.8% 8.6% 7.1% 7.8% 6.8% 6.5% 4.8%
Aden Anderson 5.8% 6.2% 6.9% 6.8% 6.8% 7.3% 8.0% 7.0% 7.8% 7.4% 9.3% 10.4% 10.1%
Katie Nelson 7.6% 9.0% 7.5% 7.2% 8.3% 8.1% 8.4% 8.2% 9.1% 8.8% 7.2% 6.9% 3.5%
matthew Monts 14.1% 12.7% 12.7% 10.6% 10.3% 9.4% 6.8% 6.3% 5.4% 5.4% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9%
Stefanos Pappas 8.1% 8.8% 8.7% 8.1% 9.0% 7.5% 7.7% 8.2% 8.2% 6.7% 7.5% 6.2% 5.3%
Ashley Delisser 5.3% 6.2% 5.7% 7.1% 5.2% 7.0% 7.2% 7.1% 7.6% 9.3% 9.5% 10.2% 12.5%
Cameron Robinson 7.3% 6.8% 6.6% 7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 8.3% 8.5% 9.8% 8.2% 8.8% 7.5% 6.7%
Brendan Smucker 6.7% 6.5% 7.4% 7.8% 9.2% 8.6% 8.1% 8.2% 7.9% 8.2% 7.9% 7.2% 6.3%
Kevin Martin 4.5% 5.2% 5.9% 5.4% 6.1% 7.0% 7.0% 7.8% 5.9% 8.6% 10.0% 11.2% 15.4%
Hilton Kamps 4.5% 4.2% 5.2% 5.8% 6.0% 6.3% 7.8% 7.8% 9.5% 9.4% 10.2% 10.2% 13.1%
Heidi Hicks 6.5% 6.8% 6.2% 6.6% 7.1% 7.6% 8.2% 6.7% 8.1% 8.0% 8.6% 9.3% 10.4%
Camden Sullivan 5.6% 5.8% 6.7% 6.5% 7.7% 6.6% 7.2% 7.5% 8.1% 9.0% 8.3% 10.5% 10.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.