Race 4B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kate Klement 26.8% 22.6% 19.5% 15.8% 9.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alison Kent 21.2% 22.3% 19.7% 17.3% 10.2% 5.8% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Flanigan 25.3% 23.1% 19.7% 14.4% 10.9% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Clulo 7.7% 8.3% 10.4% 15.8% 17.9% 18.5% 12.7% 5.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Eric Villadsen 5.8% 7.5% 9.7% 12.9% 14.3% 19.0% 16.4% 9.6% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Travis Cottle 7.9% 10.1% 14.1% 13.7% 17.6% 17.0% 12.2% 4.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Noor Willemsen 2.0% 2.0% 2.6% 3.0% 6.0% 10.0% 15.0% 18.7% 16.4% 13.1% 7.3% 3.4% 0.5%
Eric Hansen 1.1% 1.0% 1.8% 2.3% 3.9% 4.8% 10.1% 17.6% 16.4% 14.9% 13.2% 10.1% 2.8%
Kathleen O'Shea 0.4% 1.2% 0.5% 1.3% 2.8% 3.9% 5.1% 8.9% 14.2% 15.5% 18.5% 16.8% 10.9%
Cortney Kingsley 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.9% 2.5% 4.3% 8.3% 11.2% 15.4% 16.0% 16.5% 11.9% 9.6%
Maggie Kloote 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 1.8% 4.4% 7.2% 11.8% 14.7% 17.1% 16.1% 15.4% 9.3%
Adrienne Huschke 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 4.9% 6.2% 8.6% 11.6% 15.9% 21.4% 26.3%
Jared Miller 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 4.7% 6.2% 9.8% 12.3% 20.6% 40.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.