Race 5A

saisa-south-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Allen 14.7% 13.1% 11.8% 10.8% 10.7% 8.3% 7.3% 8.2% 5.6% 3.6% 2.8% 2.2% 0.9%
matthew Monts 12.8% 13.3% 11.3% 11.9% 10.0% 9.3% 8.2% 7.1% 4.9% 4.3% 3.5% 2.6% 0.6%
Camden Sullivan 6.6% 6.8% 6.7% 5.5% 6.7% 6.4% 7.2% 7.5% 7.1% 9.2% 9.6% 10.2% 10.5%
Jonathan Gleason 5.7% 7.1% 6.7% 5.8% 6.3% 6.9% 8.1% 8.8% 8.6% 8.2% 10.0% 9.0% 8.8%
Aden Anderson 6.8% 5.8% 6.0% 7.5% 6.7% 8.2% 7.1% 7.1% 7.8% 8.6% 9.1% 9.0% 10.4%
Stefanos Pappas 7.7% 7.2% 9.0% 8.9% 9.2% 7.8% 7.8% 7.9% 6.9% 8.7% 7.5% 6.2% 5.1%
Cameron Robinson 8.0% 6.3% 6.5% 6.6% 7.3% 7.7% 8.1% 7.1% 9.0% 8.8% 8.1% 8.5% 8.1%
Hilton Kamps 4.8% 5.3% 6.0% 6.0% 6.2% 6.9% 7.2% 7.3% 8.2% 8.9% 8.6% 11.0% 13.7%
Andreas Keswater 7.8% 9.3% 7.3% 8.1% 7.6% 8.6% 8.6% 8.5% 9.3% 7.6% 6.8% 6.3% 4.1%
Heidi Hicks 6.0% 5.3% 6.3% 7.3% 7.0% 7.0% 7.1% 7.3% 8.9% 8.6% 9.4% 8.8% 10.9%
Brendan Smucker 6.7% 8.3% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 8.8% 8.5% 7.9% 7.4% 7.5% 7.6% 7.2% 5.1%
Katie Nelson 6.9% 7.8% 9.0% 8.2% 8.0% 7.8% 7.5% 8.1% 8.4% 8.0% 7.7% 7.1% 5.5%
Kevin Martin 5.8% 4.3% 5.1% 5.0% 6.0% 6.3% 7.1% 7.1% 8.0% 7.8% 9.3% 11.9% 16.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.