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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.13+1.08vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame2.27-0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.84+1.33vs Predicted
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5Marquette University1.11-0.20vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.37+3.71vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.55+3.08vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-0.55-0.97vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-1.06-0.85vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-1.57-1.89vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame-2.03-3.07vs Predicted
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15Hope College-1.13-5.64vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.16-11.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Tufts University2.320.3%1st Place
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3.08University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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2.87University of Notre Dame2.270.3%1st Place
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5.33University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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4.8Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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9.71Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.08Marquette University-1.550.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Illinois-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Iowa-1.060.0%1st Place
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10.11Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Notre Dame-2.030.0%1st Place
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9.36Hope College-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.76Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Klement | 27.3% | 22.2% | 20.3% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 20.6% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Flanigan | 26.1% | 20.7% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Villadsen | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 11.6% |
| Kathleen O'Shea | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 18.2% |
| Noor Willemsen | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 19.7% |
| Adrienne Huschke | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 21.0% | 31.1% |
| Katie Brudos | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 8.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.