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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+2.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32+0.75vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame2.27-0.11vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.16+0.76vs Predicted
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5Marquette University1.11-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-0.55+1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-1.06+0.01vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota0.84-5.72vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-1.37-2.20vs Predicted
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13Hope College-1.13-3.73vs Predicted
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14Michigan Technological University-1.57-3.98vs Predicted
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15Marquette University-1.55-4.82vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame-2.03-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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2.75Tufts University2.320.3%1st Place
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2.89University of Notre Dame2.270.2%1st Place
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4.76Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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4.77Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Illinois-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Iowa-1.060.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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9.8Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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9.27Hope College-1.130.0%1st Place
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10.02Michigan Technological University-1.570.0%1st Place
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10.18Marquette University-1.550.0%1st Place
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11.09University of Notre Dame-2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 22.0% | 20.5% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 25.8% | 25.9% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Flanigan | 24.4% | 22.6% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.6% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noor Willemsen | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Eric Hansen | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 6.1% |
| Eric Villadsen | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 13.0% |
| Katie Brudos | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% |
| Maggie Kloote | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 15.0% |
| Kathleen O'Shea | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 18.1% |
| Adrienne Huschke | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.