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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College0.90+3.87vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.44+4.18vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.10+3.87vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.39+2.48vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.04+2.83vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.38+0.45vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-0.35+1.89vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.13+0.18vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.19vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.48-3.98vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.86-0.53vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College-0.17-3.77vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.55-7.13vs Predicted
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14University of Florida-0.63-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Eckerd College0.9015.8%1st Place
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6.18Jacksonville University0.448.8%1st Place
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6.87Rollins College0.107.8%1st Place
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6.48University of South Florida0.398.6%1st Place
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7.83University of Miami-0.046.3%1st Place
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6.45University of South Florida0.389.5%1st Place
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8.89Jacksonville University-0.353.9%1st Place
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8.18Unknown School-0.135.0%1st Place
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8.81Florida Institute of Technology-0.294.6%1st Place
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6.02Jacksonville University0.489.2%1st Place
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10.47Embry-Riddle University-0.862.2%1st Place
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8.23Eckerd College-0.174.5%1st Place
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5.87Florida State University0.5510.2%1st Place
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9.84University of Florida-0.633.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Richardson | 15.8% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Barney | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Carly Orhan | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Hella Kornatzki | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Crispin Blamphin | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| Robert Newland | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Mary Mann | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% |
| James McGirr | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Brandon DePalma | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% |
| Joe Seiffert | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Collin Lee | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 27.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
| Kyle Bramson | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Dario Cannistra | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.