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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University0.55+5.08vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.90+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.39+3.56vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.48+2.20vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.04+2.81vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.10+0.87vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.38-0.62vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.63+1.74vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.13-1.07vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-0.35-1.23vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.44-4.71vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-3.41vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.86-2.42vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College-0.17-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Florida State University0.558.6%1st Place
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4.84Eckerd College0.9014.8%1st Place
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6.56University of South Florida0.398.1%1st Place
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6.2Jacksonville University0.4810.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Miami-0.045.6%1st Place
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6.87Rollins College0.107.7%1st Place
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6.38University of South Florida0.389.3%1st Place
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9.74University of Florida-0.633.2%1st Place
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7.93Unknown School-0.135.9%1st Place
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8.77Jacksonville University-0.354.5%1st Place
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6.29Jacksonville University0.449.2%1st Place
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8.59Florida Institute of Technology-0.295.2%1st Place
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10.58Embry-Riddle University-0.862.3%1st Place
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8.37Eckerd College-0.175.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bramson | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 14.8% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Hella Kornatzki | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Joe Seiffert | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Crispin Blamphin | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| Carly Orhan | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Robert Newland | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Dario Cannistra | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 18.4% |
| James McGirr | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Mary Mann | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% |
| Patrick Barney | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% |
| Collin Lee | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 28.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.