Race 7B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alison Kent 23.3% 20.3% 19.4% 16.8% 12.8% 4.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Flanigan 25.5% 26.0% 19.0% 13.7% 7.9% 5.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Soren Walljasper 21.6% 22.6% 18.9% 16.2% 12.2% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Cottle 8.3% 9.5% 11.1% 16.5% 17.5% 17.3% 12.4% 4.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Clulo 8.8% 9.6% 13.6% 12.6% 15.8% 18.8% 12.9% 5.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Eric Villadsen 6.8% 6.7% 9.7% 13.5% 15.6% 18.0% 16.3% 8.4% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Noor Willemsen 2.1% 2.0% 3.2% 2.7% 6.0% 9.5% 14.8% 18.8% 16.5% 12.5% 7.9% 3.3% 0.7%
Cortney Kingsley 0.8% 0.5% 1.4% 1.6% 2.8% 4.0% 8.1% 12.4% 14.7% 15.9% 17.1% 13.9% 6.8%
Kathleen O'Shea 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 2.7% 3.6% 5.1% 10.0% 14.1% 15.0% 18.7% 16.5% 11.0%
Eric Hansen 1.0% 0.5% 2.0% 3.4% 2.8% 5.1% 10.7% 15.5% 17.4% 16.3% 12.5% 7.8% 5.0%
Maggie Kloote 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.8% 4.3% 7.2% 12.2% 14.0% 17.2% 15.6% 15.8% 9.3%
Adrienne Huschke 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 2.3% 4.2% 6.7% 8.9% 11.5% 15.8% 21.3% 26.5%
Jared Miller 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 1.1% 1.2% 2.3% 4.8% 6.1% 9.7% 11.9% 21.1% 40.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.