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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.39+5.43vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.10+4.86vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.55+2.92vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.90+0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Florida-0.63+4.88vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.38+0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.04+0.98vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+0.53vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.13-0.87vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.44-3.84vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-0.35-2.10vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.86-1.70vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.48-6.81vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College-0.17-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43University of South Florida0.399.1%1st Place
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6.86Rollins College0.107.8%1st Place
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5.92Florida State University0.5510.1%1st Place
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4.78Eckerd College0.9015.3%1st Place
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9.88University of Florida-0.632.9%1st Place
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6.59University of South Florida0.389.7%1st Place
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7.98University of Miami-0.044.3%1st Place
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8.53Florida Institute of Technology-0.294.9%1st Place
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8.13Unknown School-0.135.6%1st Place
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6.16Jacksonville University0.449.2%1st Place
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8.9Jacksonville University-0.354.0%1st Place
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10.3Embry-Riddle University-0.862.9%1st Place
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6.19Jacksonville University0.489.2%1st Place
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8.36Eckerd College-0.175.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hella Kornatzki | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Carly Orhan | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Kyle Bramson | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 15.3% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Dario Cannistra | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 20.6% |
| Robert Newland | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Crispin Blamphin | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Brandon DePalma | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% |
| James McGirr | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% |
| Patrick Barney | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Mary Mann | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 10.7% |
| Collin Lee | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 27.7% |
| Joe Seiffert | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.