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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.49+8.36vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.87+13.40vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.41+6.75vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.09vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.94+6.30vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+4.49vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.49+2.16vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.64+0.42vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+2.44vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.23+0.54vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.23vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-4.20vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.84-1.30vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.47vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-5.89vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.73-7.78vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.95-9.70vs Predicted
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18George Washington University3.10-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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15.4SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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5.09Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.3Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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10.49Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.16Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.42Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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10.54Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.7Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.11University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Drumm | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Arthur Libby | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 46.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Graham Landy | 15.0% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.7% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| Scott Houck | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Stephen Long | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 6.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| William Macdonald | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.