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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University0.55+4.84vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.90+2.90vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.44+3.19vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.10+2.81vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.48+1.27vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+2.69vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.38-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.63+1.65vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.13-0.87vs Predicted
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10University of Miami-0.04-2.10vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-0.35-2.10vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.39-5.49vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College-0.17-4.73vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.86-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Florida State University0.5511.8%1st Place
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4.9Eckerd College0.9013.7%1st Place
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6.19Jacksonville University0.4410.3%1st Place
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6.81Rollins College0.108.8%1st Place
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6.27Jacksonville University0.488.3%1st Place
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8.69Florida Institute of Technology-0.294.7%1st Place
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6.59University of South Florida0.388.3%1st Place
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9.65University of Florida-0.633.9%1st Place
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8.13Unknown School-0.135.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Miami-0.045.5%1st Place
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8.9Jacksonville University-0.353.8%1st Place
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6.51University of South Florida0.397.8%1st Place
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8.27Eckerd College-0.175.6%1st Place
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10.36Embry-Riddle University-0.862.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bramson | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Barney | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Carly Orhan | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Joe Seiffert | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Brandon DePalma | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% |
| Robert Newland | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Dario Cannistra | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 19.9% |
| James McGirr | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Crispin Blamphin | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Mary Mann | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% |
| Hella Kornatzki | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% |
| Collin Lee | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.