← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rollins College0.10+5.59vs Predicted
-
2Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+6.55vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College0.90+1.74vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida0.38+2.19vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University0.48+0.99vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University-0.34+2.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Florida-0.53+2.20vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University0.44-1.82vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College-0.17-0.97vs Predicted
-
10Unknown School-0.13-1.89vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-0.86-0.71vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida0.39-5.84vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami-0.04-5.27vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University-0.35-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.59Rollins College0.108.0%1st Place
-
8.55Florida Institute of Technology-0.294.8%1st Place
-
4.74Eckerd College0.9015.8%1st Place
-
6.19University of South Florida0.389.7%1st Place
-
5.99Jacksonville University0.489.7%1st Place
-
8.54Florida State University-0.344.9%1st Place
-
9.2University of Florida-0.533.5%1st Place
-
6.18Jacksonville University0.449.3%1st Place
-
8.03Eckerd College-0.175.8%1st Place
-
8.11Unknown School-0.134.6%1st Place
-
10.29Embry-Riddle University-0.862.5%1st Place
-
6.16University of South Florida0.3910.6%1st Place
-
7.73University of Miami-0.046.7%1st Place
-
8.69Jacksonville University-0.354.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Orhan | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Brandon DePalma | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% |
| Griffin Richardson | 15.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Newland | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Joe Seiffert | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Michael Kaufman | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% |
| Meredith McIntosh | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.9% |
| Patrick Barney | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Lily Schwartz | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% |
| James McGirr | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Collin Lee | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 27.7% |
| Hella Kornatzki | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Crispin Blamphin | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Mary Mann | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.