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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.58+2.41vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.60+2.30vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+0.81vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.28+1.26vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.03+0.48vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-2.29vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.19-1.42vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.34-2.09vs Predicted
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9Fordham University-0.99-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Hampton University0.5821.1%1st Place
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4.3Christopher Newport University0.6013.9%1st Place
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3.81University of South Florida1.1917.0%1st Place
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5.26Old Dominion University0.288.0%1st Place
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5.48North Carolina State University-0.037.4%1st Place
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3.71St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9018.3%1st Place
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5.58Washington College0.197.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Virginia-0.345.0%1st Place
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7.55Fordham University-0.992.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Brown | 21.1% | 20.4% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Aston Atherton | 13.9% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
Humberto Porrata | 17.0% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
Jonah Willoughby | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 8.1% |
Annika Milstien | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 10.3% |
Max Kleha | 18.3% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
Joseph Bonacci | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 10.9% |
Maxwell Penders | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 13.9% |
Brendan Sheeran | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.