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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+3.19vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+2.43vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.04+4.05vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48-0.08vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50-1.17vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67-2.49vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.41-0.71vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90-2.74vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Brown University3.790.2%1st Place
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4.43Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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4.83Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.51Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.29Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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6.26Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 17.1% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 14.4% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 19.5% | 40.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 12.1% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 20.9% | 25.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 11.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.