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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.90+6.50vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.48+8.06vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+2.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.25+6.35vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.04+1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.31+4.22vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.56-1.79vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.25+0.74vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-1.76vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.60-2.30vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.16-0.96vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.18+1.16vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.94-6.53vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-4.10vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.71-3.90vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.65-4.60vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.18-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Harvard University1.907.3%1st Place
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10.06Bowdoin College1.485.1%1st Place
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5.25Yale University2.5513.0%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.038.4%1st Place
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11.35Tufts University1.252.9%1st Place
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7.02Brown University2.049.2%1st Place
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11.22University of Vermont1.312.8%1st Place
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6.21Boston College2.5610.1%1st Place
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9.74Roger Williams University1.255.0%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.685.7%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College1.605.7%1st Place
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11.04Tufts University1.163.6%1st Place
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14.16Salve Regina University0.181.3%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College1.948.1%1st Place
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10.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.1%1st Place
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12.1University of Rhode Island0.712.3%1st Place
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12.4Connecticut College0.652.8%1st Place
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10.54Northeastern University1.183.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Grace Gear | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 30.2% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 15.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.