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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+7.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.93vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.49+6.40vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+4.48vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.10+5.68vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.87+9.13vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18+3.46vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-2.96vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.66vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-2.46vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.41-1.38vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.73-3.41vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.49-3.93vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.23-4.04vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.94-3.57vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-4.51vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.84-5.01vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.49-9.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.4Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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8.48Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.68George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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15.13SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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10.46Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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5.04Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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7.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.07University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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9.96Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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11.43Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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11.99Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.98Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Scott Houck | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Arthur Libby | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 46.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Graham Landy | 15.4% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Michael Saldi | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 7.5% |
| Stephen Long | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 10.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.