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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+7.23vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.48+8.21vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.25+7.00vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.25+7.03vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.31+4.93vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.94+0.62vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.04-0.91vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.97vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.55-4.89vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.90-3.61vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-1.59vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-1.99vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.18+0.12vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.60-6.25vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.71-3.87vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.16-5.90vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.65-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.7%1st Place
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10.21Bowdoin College1.484.2%1st Place
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10.0Roger Williams University1.253.3%1st Place
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11.03Tufts University1.253.1%1st Place
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6.22Boston College2.5610.6%1st Place
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10.93University of Vermont1.313.5%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College1.947.4%1st Place
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7.09Brown University2.048.6%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.038.1%1st Place
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5.11Yale University2.5515.9%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University1.907.6%1st Place
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10.41Northeastern University1.183.6%1st Place
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11.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.3%1st Place
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14.12Salve Regina University0.181.2%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College1.606.1%1st Place
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12.13University of Rhode Island0.712.1%1st Place
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11.1Tufts University1.162.6%1st Place
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12.61Connecticut College0.652.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Gear | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 31.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% |
| Annika Fedde | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.