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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+7.40vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+6.79vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+7.70vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.41+5.32vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.10+5.68vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+3.19vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.87+8.05vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.84+3.74vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.27vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.94+1.72vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-3.38vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-2.20vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-1.73vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-5.17vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.55-9.92vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.23-5.69vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.95-9.61vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-9.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.79Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.7Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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10.68George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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9.19Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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15.05SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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11.74Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.72Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.8Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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8.83University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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5.08Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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10.31Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Scott Houck | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 13.0% | 47.4% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 8.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Stephen Long | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 6.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Graham Landy | 15.2% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| William Macdonald | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.