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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+5.20vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.60+6.79vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+2.21vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+4.21vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.31+6.05vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.94+1.67vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.48+3.06vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.25+1.98vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.04-1.91vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-3.07vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.18+2.91vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.71+0.25vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.16-1.91vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.65-1.38vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-4.13vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.25-4.71vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.18-6.64vs Predicted
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18Harvard University1.90-10.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Boston College2.5610.1%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College1.605.5%1st Place
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5.21Yale University2.5513.5%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.6%1st Place
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11.05University of Vermont1.313.4%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College1.947.0%1st Place
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10.06Bowdoin College1.484.0%1st Place
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9.98Roger Williams University1.254.1%1st Place
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7.09Brown University2.048.2%1st Place
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6.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.2%1st Place
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13.91Salve Regina University0.181.2%1st Place
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12.25University of Rhode Island0.713.1%1st Place
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11.09Tufts University1.163.1%1st Place
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12.62Connecticut College0.652.5%1st Place
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10.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.2%1st Place
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11.29Tufts University1.253.0%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University1.184.1%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University1.908.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Grace Gear | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 28.4% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 15.5% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.