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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+4.22vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+5.11vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.48+7.13vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.25+7.25vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.25+5.00vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.56+0.10vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+1.17vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.94-0.31vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.60-0.09vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-3.21vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-0.80vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.65+0.74vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.71-0.92vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.31-2.85vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.18-0.89vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.90-8.73vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-5.91vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.16-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Yale University2.5513.8%1st Place
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7.11Brown University2.049.4%1st Place
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10.13Bowdoin College1.483.8%1st Place
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11.25Tufts University1.252.5%1st Place
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10.0Roger Williams University1.254.0%1st Place
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6.1Boston College2.5611.9%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.685.9%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College1.947.5%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College1.605.1%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.2%1st Place
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10.2Northeastern University1.183.7%1st Place
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12.74Connecticut College0.652.1%1st Place
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12.08University of Rhode Island0.712.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Vermont1.312.9%1st Place
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14.11Salve Regina University0.180.9%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University1.908.4%1st Place
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11.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.082.9%1st Place
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10.98Tufts University1.162.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 17.1% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% |
| Grace Gear | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 30.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Emily Scherer | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.