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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+8.36vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+5.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+5.37vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+5.00vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+4.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.72vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18+3.44vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.10+2.72vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-1.76vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.23+0.59vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.94+0.56vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.03vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-1.74vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.84vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.84-3.18vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.43-6.51vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.55-11.82vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.64-9.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.0University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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6.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.44Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.72George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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11.56Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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14.84SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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11.82Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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9.49Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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5.18Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.38Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| William Macdonald | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.8% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Stephen Long | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 42.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Graham Landy | 16.6% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.