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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.60+7.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+4.71vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.91vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.48+5.65vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+2.17vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+1.83vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.25+2.44vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.56-1.85vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-2.44vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+0.44vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-1.00vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.65-0.09vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.94-5.72vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.18-0.57vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.71-3.46vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.16-5.35vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.25-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Dartmouth College1.605.0%1st Place
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6.71Brown University2.049.2%1st Place
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4.91Yale University2.5515.0%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College1.483.8%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University1.907.4%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.9%1st Place
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9.44Roger Williams University1.255.3%1st Place
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6.15Boston College2.5610.0%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.1%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.5%1st Place
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10.0Northeastern University1.184.1%1st Place
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11.91Connecticut College0.652.5%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College1.947.5%1st Place
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13.43Salve Regina University0.181.5%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island0.712.2%1st Place
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10.65Tufts University1.162.4%1st Place
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10.7Tufts University1.253.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.0% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 32.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% |
| Annika Fedde | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.