← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.04+5.68vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College1.94+5.34vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College1.60+5.51vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+6.32vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.16+5.56vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.57vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.25+2.47vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College1.48+1.77vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.18+0.81vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.56-3.95vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.65+1.30vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-4.17vs Predicted
-
13Yale University2.55-8.06vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University1.90-6.76vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University0.18-1.50vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island0.71-4.61vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.25-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.68Brown University2.049.2%1st Place
-
7.34Dartmouth College1.947.6%1st Place
-
8.51Dartmouth College1.605.7%1st Place
-
10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.3%1st Place
-
10.56Tufts University1.163.4%1st Place
-
6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.0%1st Place
-
9.47Roger Williams University1.254.6%1st Place
-
9.77Bowdoin College1.484.2%1st Place
-
9.81Northeastern University1.183.6%1st Place
-
6.05Boston College2.5610.5%1st Place
-
12.3Connecticut College0.651.9%1st Place
-
7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.7%1st Place
-
4.94Yale University2.5516.1%1st Place
-
7.24Harvard University1.906.7%1st Place
-
13.5Salve Regina University0.181.2%1st Place
-
11.39University of Rhode Island0.712.6%1st Place
-
10.71Tufts University1.252.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 17.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.1% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 33.9% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.