← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.41+8.64vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.55+3.20vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University3.10+8.10vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.39vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.95+2.24vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.94+5.45vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.49+2.13vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+3.31vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.37vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.43-0.31vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.29vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.64-3.05vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida3.49-3.96vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University3.73-6.10vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College3.23-4.81vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College3.18-5.50vs Predicted
-
17Washington College2.84-5.04vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College1.87-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.64University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
5.2Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
11.1George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
-
7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
7.24Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
11.45Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
-
9.13Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
11.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
-
6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.69Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
8.95Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
9.04University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.9Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
10.19Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
-
10.5Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
-
11.96Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
14.98SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Jermain | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Graham Landy | 12.5% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| William Macdonald | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
| Scott Houck | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Stephen Long | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 7.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.