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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+6.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.69vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+2.88vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+5.99vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.90+2.23vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.60+2.31vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.94+0.30vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48+1.59vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.25+1.49vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.04-3.31vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-0.78vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.71-0.41vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.18+0.14vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.55-9.05vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.16-4.54vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.25-6.70vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.19-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.3%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.038.9%1st Place
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5.88Boston College2.5612.0%1st Place
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9.99Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University1.907.2%1st Place
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8.31Dartmouth College1.606.2%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College1.947.5%1st Place
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9.59Bowdoin College1.484.5%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University1.253.0%1st Place
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6.69Brown University2.048.9%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Rhode Island0.711.9%1st Place
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13.14Salve Regina University0.181.6%1st Place
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4.95Yale University2.5515.7%1st Place
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10.46Tufts University1.163.2%1st Place
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9.3Roger Williams University1.254.2%1st Place
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13.45Connecticut College0.191.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 6.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 17.3% | 27.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.7% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.9% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.