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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+4.96vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.25+8.57vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.60+5.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+2.64vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04+1.67vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90+0.89vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.55-1.92vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.94-0.72vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.48+0.57vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.71+1.21vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.18+2.36vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-4.37vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.19+0.54vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.25-4.47vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.16-4.46vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-5.74vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.18-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Boston College2.5610.6%1st Place
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10.57Tufts University1.253.5%1st Place
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8.56Dartmouth College1.605.5%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.3%1st Place
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6.67Brown University2.048.6%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University1.908.5%1st Place
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5.08Yale University2.5514.2%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College1.947.8%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College1.484.5%1st Place
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11.21University of Rhode Island0.713.2%1st Place
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13.36Salve Regina University0.181.1%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.3%1st Place
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13.54Connecticut College0.191.1%1st Place
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9.53Roger Williams University1.254.2%1st Place
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10.54Tufts University1.163.4%1st Place
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10.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.5%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University1.183.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.2% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 27.7% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Miya Preyer | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 30.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.