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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+6.57vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.48+7.35vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.25+6.17vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+2.95vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.25+5.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.56vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.55-1.96vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.04-1.38vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.94-1.89vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.60-1.74vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-1.44vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.56-6.20vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.16-2.83vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.71-3.06vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-4.92vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.18-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.9%1st Place
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9.35Bowdoin College1.484.2%1st Place
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9.17Roger Williams University1.254.0%1st Place
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6.95Harvard University1.908.8%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University1.253.9%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.8%1st Place
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5.04Yale University2.5513.2%1st Place
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6.62Brown University2.049.6%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College1.947.7%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College1.605.7%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University1.184.0%1st Place
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5.8Boston College2.5610.9%1st Place
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10.17Tufts University1.163.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Rhode Island0.713.0%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.9%1st Place
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12.59Salve Regina University0.181.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Payton Thompson | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 8.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.2% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.