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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.41+8.72vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+7.41vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+6.66vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.84+7.63vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49+4.09vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.23+4.28vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.64+1.52vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.73+0.10vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-1.77vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.87+5.23vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.94+0.57vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.55-6.61vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-4.48vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.45vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-7.63vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-4.55vs Predicted
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17George Washington University3.10-6.04vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.18-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.72University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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9.41Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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9.66Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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11.63Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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9.09University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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10.28Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.52Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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15.23SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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11.57Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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5.39Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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10.96George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Jermain | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Scott Houck | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| William Macdonald | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Arthur Libby | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 46.9% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 7.3% |
| Graham Landy | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Stephen Long | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.