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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.56+4.78vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.94+4.94vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.71+8.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+2.50vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.16+5.07vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90+0.83vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+0.54vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.25+2.45vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.55-4.16vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.48-0.59vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.60-2.78vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.04-5.43vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.25-3.80vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-3.88vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.18-2.18vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Boston College2.5611.2%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College1.948.2%1st Place
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11.06University of Rhode Island0.712.6%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.038.6%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University1.163.6%1st Place
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6.83Harvard University1.909.2%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.9%1st Place
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10.45Tufts University1.253.2%1st Place
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4.84Yale University2.5515.3%1st Place
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9.41Bowdoin College1.484.2%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College1.605.8%1st Place
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6.57Brown University2.048.6%1st Place
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9.2Roger Williams University1.254.7%1st Place
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10.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.082.4%1st Place
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12.82Salve Regina University0.181.6%1st Place
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9.65Northeastern University1.184.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 14.3% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 8.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 36.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.