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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+3.21vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+2.94vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+1.45vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+0.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+0.33vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.04+1.13vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.90-1.77vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.94vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.41-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Brown University3.790.2%1st Place
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4.94Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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4.45Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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4.48Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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4.84Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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6.23Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.33Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 15.8% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 2.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 14.4% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 13.1% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Krysta Rohde | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 13.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Laura Cuccio | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 19.3% | 41.9% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 10.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.