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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.60+3.42vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.58+1.44vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.19-0.20vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.28+0.25vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.19-0.33vs Predicted
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7Fordham University-0.99+0.50vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.03-2.49vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.34-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Christopher Newport University0.6011.6%1st Place
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3.44Hampton University0.5820.5%1st Place
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3.72St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9017.8%1st Place
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3.8University of South Florida1.1918.1%1st Place
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5.25Old Dominion University0.287.8%1st Place
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5.67Washington College0.197.1%1st Place
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7.5Fordham University-0.992.4%1st Place
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5.51North Carolina State University-0.037.6%1st Place
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5.7University of Virginia-0.347.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Atherton | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
Tyler Brown | 20.5% | 19.7% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
Max Kleha | 17.8% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Humberto Porrata | 18.1% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
Jonah Willoughby | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 8.1% |
Joseph Bonacci | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 12.1% |
Brendan Sheeran | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 51.9% |
Annika Milstien | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 19.0% | 9.7% |
Maxwell Penders | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.