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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+8.98vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+5.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.16+7.09vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.60+4.09vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55-0.04vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90+0.92vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56-1.24vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.94-0.87vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.04-2.64vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.25+0.26vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-4.47vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.71-0.84vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.25-3.75vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.18-1.00vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-5.58vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.48-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.5%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.0%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University1.163.5%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College1.605.8%1st Place
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4.96Yale University2.5514.4%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University1.908.2%1st Place
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5.76Boston College2.5610.9%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College1.949.0%1st Place
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6.36Brown University2.049.6%1st Place
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10.26Tufts University1.252.8%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.6%1st Place
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11.16University of Rhode Island0.712.7%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University1.254.3%1st Place
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13.0Salve Regina University0.181.5%1st Place
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9.42Northeastern University1.184.3%1st Place
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9.33Bowdoin College1.484.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Scherer | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Payton Thompson | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 15.9% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 37.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.