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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.60+7.09vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.48+7.35vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.91vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.04+2.84vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.25+4.19vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.94+1.18vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+0.57vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.48vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.18+3.65vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+0.11vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.71+0.01vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.56-6.19vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.90-6.15vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-4.46vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.25-4.77vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.16-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Dartmouth College1.606.5%1st Place
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9.35Bowdoin College1.484.5%1st Place
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4.91Yale University2.5515.7%1st Place
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6.84Brown University2.048.5%1st Place
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9.19Roger Williams University1.255.0%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College1.948.2%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.687.4%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.038.3%1st Place
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12.65Salve Regina University0.181.4%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Rhode Island0.712.5%1st Place
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5.81Boston College2.5610.4%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University1.908.5%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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10.23Tufts University1.253.9%1st Place
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10.15Tufts University1.162.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Eastman | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Payton Thompson | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 34.5% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 14.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.