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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.94+5.88vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.48+7.36vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.25+7.25vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.25+5.13vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55-0.13vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90+0.90vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.56-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.71+2.95vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.60-0.77vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.04-3.32vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18-1.34vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.16-1.78vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-5.28vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-4.02vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-8.44vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.18-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Dartmouth College1.949.4%1st Place
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9.36Bowdoin College1.484.4%1st Place
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10.25Tufts University1.253.3%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University1.255.5%1st Place
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4.87Yale University2.5514.7%1st Place
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6.9Harvard University1.908.1%1st Place
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5.77Boston College2.5610.2%1st Place
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10.95University of Rhode Island0.712.7%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College1.605.6%1st Place
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6.68Brown University2.048.8%1st Place
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9.66Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University1.163.4%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.686.7%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.083.2%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.039.3%1st Place
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12.83Salve Regina University0.181.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Thompson | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.7% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 8.9% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.