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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+5.81vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.52+6.03vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+4.15vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.14+9.19vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+1.95vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+0.39vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.41+1.27vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.55+3.78vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.41-0.82vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.96+0.37vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.57vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.15-2.29vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-2.87vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.52-2.35vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-4.91vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-3.03vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.45-4.66vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.05-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.03Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.15Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.19SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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6.95Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.39Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.27George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.37Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.71University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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11.65Boston University2.520.0%1st Place
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10.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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12.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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12.34Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.56Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Maes | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 22.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 9.7% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Simone Staff | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 19.3% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 14.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.