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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.15+8.98vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.87+5.02vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.83+7.66vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.07+2.54vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+3.88vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.83+4.76vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.44+2.78vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.75+3.60vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.17+5.04vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.86-3.05vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-3.45vs Predicted
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12Boston College0.96-1.51vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.34-0.10vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.60-1.22vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.10-8.93vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-6.08vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.10-11.02vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.33-8.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.98University of Vermont1.154.0%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College1.878.3%1st Place
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10.66Salve Regina University0.833.4%1st Place
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6.54Bowdoin College2.078.6%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.5%1st Place
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10.76Tufts University0.833.9%1st Place
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9.78Tufts University1.443.5%1st Place
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11.6Roger Williams University0.752.5%1st Place
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14.04Northeastern University0.171.2%1st Place
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6.95Yale University1.869.4%1st Place
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7.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.5%1st Place
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10.49Boston College0.964.2%1st Place
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12.9Connecticut College0.342.2%1st Place
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12.78University of Rhode Island0.602.0%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University2.1011.3%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.204.8%1st Place
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5.98Dartmouth College2.1011.6%1st Place
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9.09Brown University1.335.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline James | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 27.4% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 17.5% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 16.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Young | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.