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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+6.69vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+4.01vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33+6.08vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.34+9.26vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+4.79vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.86+0.80vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.86vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.75+3.41vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.07-2.36vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.15+0.06vs Predicted
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11Boston College0.96-0.28vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.44-1.94vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.83-2.46vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.60-1.46vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.10-8.98vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.17-2.12vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.83-6.26vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College1.87-11.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.8%1st Place
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6.01Harvard University2.1012.5%1st Place
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9.08Brown University1.335.5%1st Place
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13.26Connecticut College0.341.3%1st Place
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9.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.204.0%1st Place
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6.8Yale University1.868.8%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.2%1st Place
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11.41Roger Williams University0.752.9%1st Place
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6.64Bowdoin College2.079.2%1st Place
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10.06University of Vermont1.153.9%1st Place
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10.72Boston College0.963.4%1st Place
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10.06Tufts University1.444.0%1st Place
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10.54Tufts University0.833.1%1st Place
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12.54University of Rhode Island0.602.8%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College2.1011.5%1st Place
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13.88Northeastern University0.171.7%1st Place
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10.74Salve Regina University0.833.7%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College1.878.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 17.8% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caroline James | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 15.6% |
| Sarah Young | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 29.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.