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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.60+11.44vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.15+7.83vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33+6.23vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.83+6.77vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+4.98vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.86+0.88vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87-0.13vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.07-1.45vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-0.06vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.75+1.60vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.10-4.80vs Predicted
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12Boston College0.96-1.61vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-5.21vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.10-7.85vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.34-2.13vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.83-5.17vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.44-7.15vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.17-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.44University of Rhode Island0.602.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Vermont1.154.3%1st Place
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9.23Brown University1.335.1%1st Place
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10.77Tufts University0.834.4%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.204.8%1st Place
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6.88Yale University1.869.3%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College1.879.0%1st Place
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6.55Bowdoin College2.0710.2%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.0%1st Place
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11.6Roger Williams University0.752.5%1st Place
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6.2Harvard University2.1010.4%1st Place
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10.39Boston College0.963.9%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.7%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College2.1011.8%1st Place
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12.87Connecticut College0.341.8%1st Place
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10.83Salve Regina University0.832.8%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University1.444.7%1st Place
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13.85Northeastern University0.171.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Haviland | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 16.1% |
| Caroline James | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 10.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Young | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 18.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.