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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.33+8.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.83+8.73vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.34+9.91vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+5.84vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.86+2.11vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.75+5.65vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87-0.02vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10-1.85vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.15+0.90vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.44-0.20vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-3.27vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.07-5.62vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.83-2.27vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.17-0.09vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.10-8.80vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.60-3.51vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-8.22vs Predicted
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18Boston College0.96-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11Brown University1.335.0%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University0.833.1%1st Place
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12.91Connecticut College0.341.7%1st Place
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9.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.204.5%1st Place
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7.11Yale University1.869.0%1st Place
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11.65Roger Williams University0.753.0%1st Place
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6.98Dartmouth College1.878.9%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University2.1010.6%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont1.153.8%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University1.444.9%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.5%1st Place
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6.38Bowdoin College2.0711.5%1st Place
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10.73Salve Regina University0.832.9%1st Place
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13.91Northeastern University0.171.7%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College2.1011.3%1st Place
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12.49University of Rhode Island0.602.1%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.8%1st Place
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10.61Boston College0.962.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 18.2% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline James | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Chloe Holder | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 28.8% |
| Sarah Young | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Haviland | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% |
| Emma Snead | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 2.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.