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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.60+10.75vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.47vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33+5.74vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.83+6.22vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+4.39vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.86+0.55vs Predicted
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7Boston College0.96+3.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.54vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.07-2.69vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.44-0.37vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.75-0.22vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.87-5.38vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.10-7.26vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.10-8.22vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.83-4.76vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.34-3.61vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.15-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.75University of Rhode Island0.602.2%1st Place
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.1%1st Place
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8.74Brown University1.335.1%1st Place
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10.22Salve Regina University0.833.4%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.205.0%1st Place
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6.55Yale University1.868.9%1st Place
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10.0Boston College0.963.6%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.6%1st Place
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6.31Bowdoin College2.079.4%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University1.443.8%1st Place
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10.78Roger Williams University0.753.5%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College1.879.2%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University2.1012.8%1st Place
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5.78Dartmouth College2.1011.7%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University0.833.4%1st Place
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12.39Connecticut College0.342.3%1st Place
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12.84Northeastern University0.151.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Haviland | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 15.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
| Julia Wyatt | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Shanahan | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% |
| Emma Snead | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 18.8% |
| Lauren Krim | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.